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Poll No. 158
by Dr. Nabil Kukali
18 October 2006


 


Poll No. 158                                                                     Date: 18 October 2006

 

 

A survey prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali has revealed:

 

(91.0%) Oppose attacking the churches in the territories of the Palestinian territories.

 

(65.2%) Are in favor of the dissolution of the Executive Force in Gaza Strip.

 

(30.1%) Believe that Mr. Ismael Haniyyeh is the most credible personality to be charged with the formation of the national unity

             government.

 

(57.5%) Are to various degrees in favor of holding premature PLC-elections, whilst only (42.5%) are to various extents in favor of  

             holding premature Palestinian Authority presidential elections.

 

(65.4%) Support the strike of the public sector employees and workers.

 

(35.3%) Are in favor of forming a national unity government on the basis of the national dialogue charter.

 

(61.8%) Oppose the dissolution of the Palestinian Authority.

 

(45.9%) Evaluated the performance of the PA-President with "very good" and "good", whilst (40.0%)  did that for the performance

             of the Palestinian Prime Minister.

 

(33.5%) Believe that the US intervention is responsible for the present Palestinian crisis, whilst (27.7%) refer that to the sticking of

             Hamas to its positions.

 

(52.7%) Oppose the Palestinian government's refusal of the international Quartet conditions.

 

Beit Sahour – from the Information Section

 

In the most recent poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali, Director of the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO), and conducted during the period from October 8th to 15th, 2006, a random sample of (1020) respondents, representing the various demographic specimen of the people living in the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, and Gaza Strip, who are above 18 years old, has been interviewed. 

 

The most significant result of this poll, Dr. Kukali said, is that a high rate of the Palestinians, namely (52.7%), oppose the Palestinian government's refusal of the international Quartet conditions, specifically (52.5%) are from Gaza Strip and (52.8%) from the West Bank. In addition, Dr. Kukali has shown that (61.4%) are in favor of the meeting of the Palestinian President "Abu Mazin" with the Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert and pointed out that a considerable rate of the Palestinians are to various degrees in favor of holding premature national elections in the Palestinian territories, namely (57.5%), where (60.1%) are from the West Bank and (53.0%) are from Gaza Strip, whilst only (42.5%) to different extents are in favor of holding premature presidential elections.

 

Dr. Kukali concluded furthermore from the poll findings that the Palestinian President, Mr. Mahmoud Abbas, is still enjoying a positive evaluation of his performance by the Palestinian people. This rate has reached (45.9%), whilst those who evaluated the performance of the Palestinian Prime Minister in a positive way were (40.0%) of the Palestinians. 

 

Dr. Nabil Kukali said the results of the poll where as follows:

 

Q.1 Whom do you think is to be held responsible for the prevailing Palestinian crisis?

Response

18 October 2006

1. The weak position of the President of the

    Palestinian Authority in dealing with the crisis.

13.9%

2. The sticking of Hamas to its positions.

27.7%

3. Hesitation of the Prime Minister to take bold

    measures in dealing with crisis.

13.1%

4. The sticking of Fateh to its positions.

7.6%

5. The interference of the United States of America.

33.5%

6.  The interference of certain Arab states.

2.8%

7. Don't know.

1.4%

 

Q.2 What is your personal attitude towards the strike of the employees and workers of the public sector?

Response

18 October 2006

1. Strongly in favor

36.7%

2. Somewhat in favor

28.7%

3. Somewhat not in favor

17.5%

4. Strongly not in favor

15.7%

5. Don't know

1.4%

 

Q.3 How do you evaluate the position of Hamas towards the strike of the employees and workers of the public sector?

Response

18 October 2006

1.  Positively

17.2%

2.  Negatively

60.2%

3.  Indifferently

20.7%

4. Don't know

1.9%

 

Q.4 How do you evaluate the performance of the Palestinian Authority President, Mr. Mahmoud Abbas, at present?

Response

18 October 2006

1.  Very good

14.3%

2.  Good

31.6%

3.  Mediocre

24.6%

4.  Bad

15.6%

5. Very bad

12.7%

6.  Don't know

1.2%

 

Q.5 How do you evaluate the performance of the Palestinian Prime Minister, Mr. Ismael Haniyyeh at present?

Response

18 October 2006

1.  Very good

17.5%

2.  Good

22.5%

3.  Mediocre

26.2%

4.  Bad

15.3%

5. Very bad

16.7%

6.  Don't know

1.8%

 

Q.6 Are you for or against the dissolution of the Palestinian Authority?

Response

18 October 2006

1.  For that

35.5%

2.  Against that

61.8%

3.  Don't know  

2.7%

 

Q.7 Are you in favor or not in favor of holding premature Palestinian national elections at present?

Response

18 October 2006

1.  Strongly in favor

37.1%

2.  Somewhat in favor

20.4%

3.  Somewhat not in favor

21.3%

4.  Strongly not in favor

19.5%

5.  Don't know

1.7%

 

Q.8 Are you in favor or not in favor of holding premature Palestinian presidential elections at present?

Response

18 October 2006

1.  Strongly in favor

21.8%

2.  Somewhat in favor

20.7%

3.  Somewhat not in favor

31.3%

4.  Strongly not in favor

23.4%

5.  Don't know

2.8%

 

Q.9 What should be the constitution of the national unity government to be formed in order to put an end to the prevailing crisis?

Response

18 October 2006

1. A national unity government headed by Hamas.

18.8%

2. A national unity government headed by Fateh.

19.9%

3. A national unity government headed by an

    independent personality, a technocrate.

19.3%

4. An emergency government.

5.2%

5. A national unity government on the basis of the

    national dialogue charter.

35.3%

6.  Don't know

1.5%

 

Q.10 Are you in favor or not in favor of attacking the churches in the background of the Pope's comments on Islam?

Response

18 October 2006

1.  In favor

7.9%

2.  Not in favor

91.0%

3.  Don't know  

1.1%

 

Q.11 Are you in favor of keeping the Executive Force that is formed in Gaza by the Palestinian Ministry of interior, or are you in

         favor of its dissolution?

Response

18 October 2006

1.  In favor of keeping it.

31.7%

2.  In favor of its dissolution

65.2%

3.  Don't know 

3.1%

 

Q.12 Who is the Palestinian personality you trust more than any other one to be charged with the formation of the national unity

          government? Open question:

Response

18 October 2006

Response

18 October 2006

1. Ismael Haniyyeh

30.1%

12. Aziz Dwik

2.4%

2. Mohammad Dahlan

10.8%

13. Muneeb El-Masri

1.8%

3. Marwan Bargouthi

7.2%

14. Khaled Mesh’al

1.6%

4. Ahmad Qrei

6.9%

15. Yasser Abed Rabbo

1.5%

5. Mustafa Barghouthi

6.2%

16. Hanan Ashrawi

1.3%

6. Saeb Ereikat

5.2%

17. Ahmed Sa'adat

1.2%

7. Nabil Sh’ath

4.9%

18. Sa'ed Syam

1.1%

8. Mahmoud Abbas

4.6%

19. Nabil Abu Rodayna

1.0%

9. Salam Fayyad

3.7%

20. Jibreel Rjoub

1.0%

10. Naser Al-Din Al Shair

2.8%

21. Bassam Al-Salhi

0.8%

11. Mahmoud Al-Zahar

2.6%

22. Other

1.3%

 

Q.13 Mr. Ismael Haniyyeh has once again reiterated the refusal of the Palestinian government of the international Quartet conditions.

         Do you agree with his position, or not?

Response

18 October 2006

1.  I agree

41.8%

2.  I don't agree

52.7%

3.  Don't know 

5.5%

                           

Q.14 It's likely that the Palestinian President, Mr. Abu Mazen, will meet next with the Israeli Prime Minster, Mr. Ehud Olmert.

         Are you in favor of such a meeting, or not?

Response

18 October 2006

1.  In favor

61.4%

2.  Not in favor

37.9%

3.  Don't know  

0.7%

 

Methodology of the Survey Study:

 

Mr. Elias Kukali, a staff member of the Research and Studies' Section at the PCPO, said that all interviews of this survey were conducted inside the respondents' homes, i.e. face-to-face during different working hours, at least 5 hours a day, including the evening time, in order to ensure proper representation of those sub-groups of the population, which would otherwise be difficult to reach and selecting one individual in each household using Last Birthday Method. The choices were taken from a total of (156) election sites, from which (113) sites are located in West Bank and (43) sites in Gaza Strip according to the distribution of the Central Election Commission. These election sites were randomly chosen by using the method of the simple random sample. These in turn were the beginning of the random sample choice made from those regions in accordance with PCPO's long experienced methodology.

 


 

 

 

 

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